The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Jets and Rams.
Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
LA Rams | Rank | @ | NY Jets | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
-3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
25 | Implied Total | 21.5 | ||
22.1 | 17 | Points/Gm | 20.2 | 22 |
24.1 | 24 | Points All./Gm | 23.2 | 18 |
62.2 | 15 | Plays/Gm | 59.1 | 29 |
61.9 | 17 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.4 | 23 |
5.4 | 13 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 19 |
5.7 | 27 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 4 |
43.17% | 16 | Rush% | 36.23% | 29 |
56.83% | 17 | Pass% | 63.77% | 4 |
47.40% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 46.85% | 24 |
52.60% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 53.15% | 9 |
- Since firing Robert Saleh, the Jets have had a -67.4 EPA defensively, the worst rate in the league.
- Since Week 8 (the return of Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp), the Rams have averaged 2.22 points per drive (13th) with a 46.3% success rate on offense (6th).
- The Rams average 6.0 yards per play with Nacua on the field compared to 5.0 yards per play with him off the field.
- The Rams have led for 21.7% of their offensive snaps, the lowest rate for any team with a winning record.
- The Rams have allowed 41.4% of the drives against them to reach the red zone or score prior, 30th in the league.
- The Rams have allowed 14 touchdowns outside the red zone, tied for the 2nd-most in the league.
- The Jets have allowed 1 touchdown from outside the red zone, the fewest in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford: Thursday night in San Francisco was a gross outing for the passing game.
Stafford once again struggled in the matchup against the 49ers' defense, getting Nick Bosa back.
Coupled with heavy rain in the first half, things never got going.
Stafford ended the week QB26 (8.2 points), throwing for 160 yards with 0 touchdowns.
This matchup is improved for Stafford as a floor-based QB2 with added upside for this game to be higher-scoring.
The Rams have a solid team total, while the Jets have allowed Tua Tagovailoa and Mac Jones 331 and 294 passing yards in the past two games, respectively.
Each also threw a pair of touchdown passes, something Stafford has done in six of eight games since Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp returned to the lineup.
The Jets are still allowing only 6.9 yards per pass attempt (10th), but they have faced 47 and 46 pass attempts in the past two weeks as they have started to play in higher-scoring games.
Over their past four games, games involving the Jets have featured 55, 47, 58, and 57 combined points.
Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers is coming off his best fantasy game of the season on Sunday.
Rodgers ended the week QB4 (30.1 points), throwing for a season-high 9.6 yards per pass attempt with 3 touchdowns.
He also rushed for 45 yards after entering last week with 56 yards rushing on the season.
Rodgers has now posted back-to-back QB1 scoring weeks and has scored 15 or more fantasy points in five of his past seven games.
I would not vault Rodgers into 1QB status since he still completed a season-low 53.3% of his passes against the Jaguars, but he is a floor-based QB2 with upside of his own here.
Not only have the Jets been playing in higher-scoring games, but Rodgers draws another favorable matchup for production if he can operate from clean pockets.
The Rams can get after the quarterback, ranking 7th in the league in pressure rate (37.1%).
Rodgers has completed 41.3% of his passes when pressured, ahead of only Anthony Richardson (37.8%).
But when the Rams have failed to get pressure, they have been roughed up in the passing game.
Without pressure, the Rams have allowed 8.5 yards per attempt (31st) and a 5.2% touchdown rate (24th).
Even with last week’s rain-filled game on the books, the Rams have allowed 14.6 passing points per game (24th).
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 16 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
Matchup | Time |
---|---|
Broncos @ Chargers -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
Texans @ Chiefs -- FREE | Saturday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Steelers @ Ravens -- FREE | Saturday -- 4:30 p.m. ET |
Giants @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Lions @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Browns @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Titans @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Rams @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Eagles @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Cardinals @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Vikings @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
Patriots @ Bills | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
Jaguars @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
49ers @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
Bucs @ Cowboys | Sunday Night Football |
Saints @ Packers -- FREE | Monday Night Football |