The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 14 Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns Sunday afternoon game.
| Baltimore | Rank | @ | Cleveland | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 20 | Implied Total | 22.5 | ||
| 23.5 | 16 | Points/Gm | 21.2 | 19 |
| 21.7 | 9 | Points All./Gm | 22.3 | 12 |
| 71 | 1 | Plays/Gm | 61.7 | 25 |
| 59.3 | 2 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.2 | 8 |
| 5.5 | 18 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 12 |
| 6 | 31 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5 |
| 45.07% | 11 | Rush% | 46.76% | 6 |
| 54.93% | 22 | Pass% | 53.24% | 27 |
| 35.53% | 2 | Opp. Rush % | 43.05% | 23 |
| 64.47% | 31 | Opp. Pass % | 56.95% | 10 |
- The Ravens (.209) and Browns (.166) rank 28th and 31st in points per play offensively over the past four weeks.
- Baltimore has scored a touchdown on 5-of-45 (11.1%) possessions over that span, 30th in the league.
- Cleveland has scored on 26.9% (18-of-67) of their possessions since Week 6, 29th in the league.
- 31.5% of Baker Mayfield's third down pass attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the lowest rate among the 33 passers with 50 or more third down pass attempts.
- The Ravens are first in the league in third down conversion rate allowed defensively (31.5%).
- Cleveland is allowing a league-high 6.7 yards per play on third downs as opposed to 4.8 yards per play on first and second downs (second).
- Baltimore is averaging 4.6 yards per play on third downs (26th).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson: All of the injuries appear to finally be catching up to the Ravens and Jackson’s play has dwindled over the past month-plus as a passer. Over his past four games, Jackson is averaging 6.0 yards per pass attempt with six touchdown passes and eight interceptions.
Teams have been blitzing Jackson at will as he is now the third-highest blitzed passer in the league (35.8%) but that is not really the Browns game. Cleveland is 21st in blitz rate (21.9%) and only blitzed Jackson on 26.3% of his dropbacks two weeks ago (14th in Week 12), but Jackson only averaged 4.1 Y/A on those dropbacks with an interception.
As bad a Jackson has been as a passer over this stretch, he still does have three QB1 scoring weeks (and has been a QB1 in five of his past seven starts) since he still has 282 rushing yards over the span. The floor has still been solid despite Jackson throwing multiple touchdown passes in just two games this season and failing to have a rushing score in a game since Week 2. Jackson is a floor-based QB1.