The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 10 matchup between the Bengals and Texans.
Find a breakdown of every Week 10 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Houston | Rank | @ | Cincinnati | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | Spread | -7.0 | ||
| 19.75 | Implied Total | 26.75 | ||
| 23.4 | 11 | Points/Gm | 19.4 | 23 |
| 20.6 | 14 | Points All./Gm | 20.3 | 12 |
| 64.0 | 14 | Plays/Gm | 62.1 | 20 |
| 64.4 | 19 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.8 | 10 |
| 5.5 | 9 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 27 |
| 5.2 | 17 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 31 |
| 41.80% | 16 | Rush% | 34.21% | 31 |
| 58.20% | 17 | Pass% | 65.79% | 2 |
| 43.30% | 18 | Opp. Rush % | 42.31% | 14 |
| 56.70% | 15 | Opp. Pass % | 57.69% | 19 |
- The Bengals now lead the NFL in turnover differential (+9).
- Houston has turned the ball over on a league-low 5.7% of their possessions.
- The Bengals have turned the ball over on 7.0% of their drives, second in the league.
- Cincinnati has scored 42 more points off passing plays versus their opponents over their four-game winning streak, the most in the league.
- Houston is third in the NFL in point differential on passing plays (+48) this season.
- Over their past four games, just 40.0% of the Cincinnati set of downs have reached third down, second in the league.
- Over their first four games, that rate was 57.1%, 31st in the league.
- 74.1% of the drives against Houston have gained a first down or touchdown, the second-highest rate in the league.
- Houston is averaging 3.8 more yards per passing play than rushing play, the largest margin in the league.
- The Texans are the only team in the NFL without a rushing play of 20 or more yards on the season.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Joe Burrow: Burrow stayed hot on Sunday night, completing 31-of-44 passes for a season-high 348 yards with two touchdowns.
Burrow has now thrown multiple touchdowns in four straight games and has been a QB1 in three for those four weeks.
He has worked his way back to being a front-end QB1, especially in a week without Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts, and Patrick Mahomes.
Coming out of the bye, Burrow has been able to play under center more (20.2% of dropbacks), which has led to more play-action passing.
Burrow has used play action on 31.6% of his dropbacks the past two weeks after 18.1% prior.
Using play action over the past two games, Burrow is 20-of-24 passing for 220 yards (9.2 Y/A) with a touchdown.
The Bengals should be incentivized to stick with that approach here.
The Texans are allowing a 75.4% completion rate (31st) and 10.2 yards per pass attempt (29th) on play-action passes this season, although they have yet to allow a touchdown pass on those dropbacks.
That has been the story for this Houston pass defense.
They do not have strong peripherals in allowing 7.3 yards per attempt (24th) and a 70.4% completion rate (31st) to passers, but their 2.5% touchdown rate ranks second in the NFL.
If they continue to allow those rate stats, the touchdowns will catch up and regress.
We even started to see that a week ago when Baker Mayfield threw a pair of scores. He nearly had two other ones as two of his passes resulted in players being tackled at the 1-yard line.
Even without allowing more than two touchdowns to anyone outside of Mayfield, the Texans have allowed QB1 scoring weeks to Desmond Ridder, Derek Carr, and Mayfield now over their past four games.
Burrow (especially the version we have seen the past two weeks) is in another weight class from those passers.
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