The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 5 matchup between the Falcons and Texans.
Find a breakdown of every Week 5 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Houston | Rank | @ | Atlanta | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Spread | -1.0 | ||
| 20.25 | Implied Total | 21.25 | ||
| 24.0 | 15 | Points/Gm | 15.5 | 25 |
| 19.8 | 11 | Points All./Gm | 19.3 | 10 |
| 69.0 | 5 | Plays/Gm | 62.0 | 20 |
| 59.8 | 6 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.8 | 10 |
| 5.3 | 13 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.6 | 25 |
| 5.2 | 18 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5 |
| 40.94% | 19 | Rush% | 45.56% | 9 |
| 59.06% | 14 | Pass% | 54.44% | 24 |
| 44.77% | 20 | Opp. Rush % | 46.96% | 24 |
| 55.23% | 13 | Opp. Pass % | 53.04% | 9 |
- The Texans have won back-to-back games by 20 or more points for the first time since 2015 (and just the third time ever).
- The Falcons have led for just 6.9% of their offensive plays, 30th in the league.
- Atlanta is averaging 4.4 yards per play on early downs (first and second), 28th in the NFL.
- 15.0% of the Houston rushing attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the lowest rate in the league.
- 27.4% of the Atlanta rushing attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown, sixth in the league.
- 36.8% of the Houston pass attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown, eighth in the league.
- 30.3% of the Atlanta pass attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown, 22nd in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
C.J. Stroud: Stroud completed a season-low 53.3% (16-of-30) passes on Sunday, but he averaged a season-high 10.2 yards per pass attempt and threw a pair of touchdowns.
That gives Stroud multiple touchdowns in each of his past three starts, weeks he has ended as the QB11 (21.5 points), QB10 (20.6 points), and QB10 (21.8 points).
Stroud has already worked his way up to a high-end QB2 and fringe QB1 fantasy option.
When Stroud has been kept clean, has completed 67.3% of his passes for 9.5 yards per pass attempt with all six of his passing touchdowns.
The only quarterbacks with more yards per pass attempt from a clean pocket are Brock Purdy (10.8 Y/A) and Tua Tagovailoa (10.3 Y/A).
When pressured, Stroud has thrown for 4.7 yards per pass attempt, which is 27th in the league.
Atlanta is 17th in pressure rate (34.5%) and 30th in sack rate defensively.
The Falcons have a strong case to be the best pass defense Stroud has played. They are allowing 6.2 yards per pass attempt when they do not pressure the opposing quarterback, fifth in the league.
Atlanta has also been one of the best defenses defending downfield throws. Opponents have completed 14-of-37 (37.8%) passes on throws 10 or more yards downfield against the Falcons, the fifth-lowest rate in the league.
That is where Stroud excelled early this season and was his strength in college.
On throws 10 or more yards downfield, Stroud already has 30 completions, which is third in the league. He is averaging 12.2 yards per attempt on those throws, which is ninth.
Stroud faced one team higher than them in that department in Baltimore Week 1. In that game, he was 7-of-14 for 105 yards (7.5 Y/A) on throws 10 yards or further downfield.
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