The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 15 Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday afternoon game.
| Houston | Rank | @ | Jacksonville | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spread | -3 | ||
| 18.8 | Implied Total | 21.8 | ||
| 13.6 | 32 | Points/Gm | 13.8 | 31 |
| 27.4 | 30 | Points All./Gm | 26.2 | 27 |
| 59.3 | 31 | Plays/Gm | 60.1 | 30 |
| 65.5 | 25 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.8 | 19 |
| 4.5 | 32 | Off. Yards/Play | 5 | 27 |
| 5.9 | 28 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 23 |
| 40.21% | 19 | Rush% | 36.88% | 27 |
| 59.79% | 14 | Pass% | 63.12% | 6 |
| 47.89% | 31 | Opp. Rush % | 45.48% | 26 |
| 52.11% | 2 | Opp. Pass % | 54.52% | 7 |
- This is just the third time since the start of last season that the Jaguars are favored. They are 0-2 in both of the previous two games, including a loss to the Texans in Week 1 this season.
- Houston (33.2%) and Jacksonville (34.6%) are the bottom-two teams in the league in percentage of points scored in their games this season.
- Jacksonville has been outscored 281-120 through three quarters this season (largest differential in the league) before outscoring teams 60-59 in the fourth quarter.
- Houston is allowing 4.8 scoring plays per game, 30th in the league.
- The Texans have scored 24 fewer offensive touchdowns than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
- Jacksonville is averaging 2.3 scoring plays per game, the fewest in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence: It just keeps getting worse for Lawrence. Sunday, Lawrence threw a season-high four interceptions (his first game with multiple interceptions since Week 3) and just 5.5 yards per pass attempt. He failed to throw a touchdown pass for the fifth time over the past six games and he still has not thrown multiple touchdowns in a game since Week 1.
Since their Week 7 bye, Lawrence has completed 8-of-42 (19.0%) passes 15 yards or further downfield, the lowest rate among quarterbacks with 20 or more of those attempts.
If looking for a positive, Lawrence did throw three touchdown passes against Houston in the season opener and the Texans remain the worst defense in the NFL against downfield targets, allowing a league-high 50.7% completion rate on targets 15 yards or further downfield. We have not been able to trust Lawrence on any level since the bye, but if there ever was a chance for him to be useful as a QB2, this stretch versus the Texans and Jets is all we have left.
