The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Colts and Titans.
Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Tennessee | Rank | @ | Indianapolis | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Spread | -3.5 | ||
| 19.5 | Implied Total | 23.0 | ||
| 18.1 | 27 | Points/Gm | 20.0 | 23 |
| 27.1 | 29 | Points All./Gm | 23.5 | 21 |
| 60.8 | 22 | Plays/Gm | 59.2 | 28 |
| 59.4 | 5 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66.7 | 31 |
| 5.0 | 26 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 17 |
| 5.0 | 5 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 17 |
| 43.01% | 19 | Rush% | 45.72% | 10 |
| 56.99% | 14 | Pass% | 54.28% | 23 |
| 47.05% | 26 | Opp. Rush % | 47.64% | 30 |
| 52.95% | 7 | Opp. Pass % | 52.36% | 3 |
- Tennessee is a league-worst 2-12 against the spread this season.
- Since returning to Anthony Richardson in Week 11, the Colts have generated -52.6 EPA on offense, the lowest mark in the league.
- Indianapolis has averaged 1.50 points per drive over its past nine games, ahead of only the Browns (1.42) and Giants (1.20).
- The Colts' success rate on passing plays is 37.6%, ahead of only the Giants (37.4%) and Browns (37.1%).
- The Titans have a 38.4% success rate on passing plays, 28th in the league.
- The Titans average 2.2 fewer sacks plus takeaways per game than their opponent, 30th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Anthony Richardson: Sunday was another struggle for Richardson as a passer.
He completed 44.7% of his throws (17-of-38) for 4.5 yards per pass attempt with no touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
He did add 46 yards and a rushing touchdown, but that was only good enough to close the week as QB15 (14.4 points).
Richardson remains a boom-or-bust QB2.
Richardson is last in the NFL with a 47.0% completion rate and a league-high 17.8% inaccurate throw rate.
At least this week, the Colts are home favorites and expected to play in a neutral game script.
He has had two QB1 scoring weeks since returning to the lineup with both coming in wins.
Tennessee is 27th in the league in pressure rate (30%).
When they have not pressured the passer, the Titans have allowed a 72.8% completion rate (23rd), a 5.6% touchdown rate (30th), and only 6.9 yards per attempt (2nd).
When they have gotten pressure on the quarterback, they have allowed a 43.2% completion rate (5th), 5.5 Y/A (9th), and a 5.7% touchdown rate (22nd).
Mason Rudolph: Rudolph is set to take over the starting job with Will Levis being benched.
Rudolph made three starts earlier this season, ending those weeks as QB20 (9.9 points), QB14 (19.5 points), and QB18 (17.5 points).
He provided usable QB2 games over that stretch despite throwing 4 interceptions.
The Titans have averaged 5.2 yards per play with Rudolph in the game this season compared to 4.8 yards per play under Levis.
The Colts have allowed 13.7 passing points per game (17th).
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 16 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Broncos @ Chargers -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Texans @ Chiefs -- FREE | Saturday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Ravens -- FREE | Saturday -- 4:30 p.m. ET |
| Giants @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Bills | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Cowboys | Sunday Night Football |
| Saints @ Packers -- FREE | Monday Night Football |