The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 6 matchup between the Bears and Vikings.
Find a breakdown of every Week 6 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Minnesota | Rank | @ | Chicago | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | Spread | 2.5 | ||
| 24.25 | Implied Total | 21.75 | ||
| 22.0 | 16 | Points/Gm | 23.0 | 12 |
| 24.4 | 23 | Points All./Gm | 31.4 | 30 |
| 61.6 | 23 | Plays/Gm | 61.2 | 24 |
| 67.8 | 24 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.4 | 20 |
| 5.9 | 4 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 11 |
| 5.1 | 12 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.1 | 30 |
| 29.55% | 32 | Rush% | 43.79% | 12 |
| 70.45% | 1 | Pass% | 56.21% | 21 |
| 43.66% | 17 | Opp. Rush % | 41.64% | 12 |
| 56.34% | 16 | Opp. Pass % | 58.36% | 21 |
- Minnesota has won four straight (3-1 ATS) games against Chicago.
- Minnesota is last in the league in time of possession differential (-6:56 per game).
- Chicago is still the only remaining team to have all of their games go over the game total this season.
- Minnesota is averaging 37.3 yards per drive, fourth in the league.
- Chicago is averaging 41.5 yards per drive over the past two weeks (third in the league) after averaging 22.4 yards per drive in Weeks 1-3 (29th).
- The Bears have allowed opponents to convert a league-high 57.4% of their third down plays. The league average is 40.1%.
- The Vikings are one of just two remaining teams (Pittsburgh) without a rushing touchdown yet on the season.
- Minnesota has led for just 7.3% of their second-half snaps, ahead of only the Giants (0%).
- The Bears now have a gain of 20 or more yards on 8.2% of their offensive plays, second in the NFL behind Miami (10.4%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Justin Fields (TRUST): What a difference a couple of weeks makes.
After closing the opening three weeks out as QB16, QB21, and QB24, Fields has rebounded with spike weeks as QB4 and QB1.
He was just the second Chicago quarterback to ever throw four touchdown passes in back-to-back games. Fields now is the top quarterback in touchdown passes thrown over expectation (+4.5) on the season.
Fields run into another solid matchup to stay hot as a front-end QB1.
Minnesota blitzes at the league’s highest rate (55.0%).
We have brought this up before, but Fields has been strong against the blitz over his career.
This season, Fields is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt with four touchdowns and one interception when blitzed.
For his career, he has a 7.4% touchdown against the blitz as opposed to a 3.6% touchdown rate when he has not been blitzed.
When he has been blitzed and not been pressured, he has a 9.0% touchdown rate.
Minnesota has been a soft target regardless of those splits.
They are allowing a 76.3% completion rate (31st) and a 4.5% touchdown rate (24th) to opposing passers.
Every quarterback to face Minnesota has been a QB1 performer except for Bryce Young.
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