• Spread: Eagles -6
  • Total: O/U 47.5
  • Defense Advantage: The Eagles allowed the fewest yards and second-fewest points in both per-game and per-drive averages this season.
  • Offensive Mismatch: The Commanders have yet to find a way to slow down Saquon Barkley, who has 296 rushing yards against them in two matchups.
  • Bet365 bonus code SFA365: Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets regardless of your bet's outcome.
  • Risk Factors: Jalen Hurts could have limited mobility after a nasty looking sack injured his knee in Sunday's win over the Rams.

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders Best Bet Prediction

The Philadelphia Eagles are 13-1 at home against playoff teams since the 2022 season. They need just one more of those wins against the Washington Commanders to reach their second Super Bowl under coach Nick Sirianni, but they have to slow down a red-hot rookie quarterback in Jayden Daniels, who has led the only two road wins in this postseason. The Eagles are a 6-point home favorite at Bet365, and that spread is our Sharp Focus in this Eagles vs. Commanders preview.

Can Jayden Daniels Make History?

Jayden Daniels was snubbed from the list of five finalists for MVP, but this rookie is every bit as valuable to his team as anyone this season:

  • Daniels leads all quarterbacks this postseason with an 86.8 QBR.
  • Daniels is tied for the NFL record with five fourth-quarter comeback wins as a rookie, including one against the Eagles in Week 16.
  • The 2024 Commanders are the third team in NFL history (1983 Raiders, 2017 Patriots) to score at least 18 points in 19 consecutive games in a single season.
  • Daniels is the only quarterback to ever throw for 250 yards, 2 touchdowns, and no interceptions in consecutive road wins in playoff history.

How Worried Should the Eagles Be About Jalen Hurts?

Jalen Hurts had a very good 2024 season overall, but the passing game production has slipped, and now he's playing injured:

  • The Eagles are 8-0 this season when Hurts passes for at least 200 yards, but he has failed to throw for 180 yards in six of his last seven starts.
  • A.J. Brown has caught just 3-of-10 targets for 24 yards with multiple drops this postseason.
  • Hurts was sacked seven times against the Rams, including once for a safety after his injury.
  • The Commanders have forced six takeaways this postseason.

Riding Saquon to Victory

The Commanders should have the edge in the passing department,  but this could be a game where the Eagles lean on Saquon Barkley to run them to the Super Bowl:

  • Saquon Barkley's 2,329 rushing yards (playoffs included) are the third most in a season, and he has a shot to eclipse Terrell Davis' record of 2,476 yards for the 1998 Broncos.
  • Barkley has already rushed for 150 and 146 yards in the games against Washington this season.
  • The Commanders rank 30th in rushing yards allowed and 28th in yards per carry.
  • The Commanders are the first team in NFL playoff history to allow over 200 rushing yards on the road and win the game by more than 10 points.

Eagles vs. Commanders

Exclusive Eagles vs. Commanders Betting Offer with the Bet365 Bonus Code: SFA365

New users have an exciting promo during the NFL's Championship Sunday action. You can use the Bet365 bonus code SFA365 to get $150 in bonus bets when you bet $5 on a qualified sports market like Eagles vs. Commanders.

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Bet on the EAGLES Vs. Commanders

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