The Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) and Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) are in a rare Super Bowl rematch from just two years ago. But these teams will make history for meeting for the fourth-straight year despite playing in different conferences. The Chiefs started their three-peat reign with a win over the Eagles in 2022. Do they finish the job against the same team, or does Saquon Barkley's addition spark the Eagles to victory on his 28th birthday? We look at key trends from this one as well as the Bet365 Super Bowl promo available to you if you use the Bet365 bonus code SFA365.
- Spread: Chiefs -1
- Total: O/U 48.5
- Defense Advantage: The Eagles have allowed more than 23 points once since October.
- Offensive Mismatch: The Chiefs are struggling on run defense and Saquon Barkley is on fire with long runs this postseason.
- Bet365 bonus code SFA365: Get up to $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses, or bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets.
- Risk Factors: The Chiefs are playing their best guard (Joe Thuney) at left tackle while Philadelphia's line strength is inside (Jalen Carter).

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Final Prediction
Everyone wants to know who wins between the Chiefs and Eagles this time around. Both teams are different from two years ago, but at the end of the day, the Chiefs are still a 1-point favorite because they have Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, who is 17-3in the postseason and able to overcome a lot of situations.
Let's look at the matchup and make our best final prediction for the Bet365 Super Bowl promo.
Watch the Turnover Battle
Turnovers often decide NFL playoff games like Super Bowls, but the 2024 Chiefs are a huge outlier in NFL history:
- The 2024 Chiefs have already played a record 5 games where neither team turned the ball over.
- Patrick Mahomes has won his last nine starts when the Chiefs fail to produce a takeaway, an absurd streak.
- Since 2018, the Chiefs have the best record when they win the turnover battle (46-3).
- The Chiefs also are the only team to stay .500 or above when they lose or are neutral in the turnover battle.
- Every Super Bowl winner finished with at least 3 takeaways in the postseason but the Chiefs currently have none.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have never gone 4 straight games without a takeaway.
- The Eagles are the only team in NFL history to collect 10 turnovers before turning the ball over themselves in a single postseason.
- The Eagles have gone 5 straight games without a turnover — only three teams have ever made it to six straight clean games.
Chiefs Are Built to Overcome Saquon Barkley
Saquon Barkley is embarrassing defenses this year, but the Chiefs may be well suited to overcome his greatness:
- The Chiefs win over 64% of their games since 2018 when they are outrushed by at least 50 yards (rest of NFL: 35% or worse).
- The Chiefs are 10-3 against 100-yard rushers in their last 13 such games since 2019.
- The Chiefs have never allowed a 90-yard rusher in 18 playoff games under Steve Spagnuolo.
- The only player to rush for 90 yards against the Chiefs this season was quarterback Lamar Jackson in Week 1.
- Kansas City has only allowed three touchdown runs longer than 7 yards all season.
- Three of the five longest runs against the Chiefs have been by quarterbacks.
- The Chiefs have outrushed the Eagles in three straight meetings since 2021.
Betting Edge: Kansas City
The Eagles are a very formidable opponent, but we are still backing the Chiefs to pull it out:
- The Chiefs' starters have yet to trail by more than 11 points this season while all other teams have, including the Eagles (down 24-0 in Tampa Bay).
- The Chiefs are 13-0 in close games while the Eagles have blown a pair of late leads (Falcons and Commanders games).
- The Chiefs have won their last 17 games decided by one score (four games longer than the previous NFL record).
- Patrick Mahomes is 16-0 indoors, 14-2 after a bye, 17-3 in the playoffs, and 8-0 against Philly defensive coordinator Vic Fangio.
- Mahomes is 45-2 when he releases the ball in under 2.8 seconds, something he has done every game since Week 16.
Exclusive Chiefs vs. Eagles Betting Offer with the Bet365 Bonus Code: SFA365
New customers have some great offers from Bet365 for Super Bowl 59. You just need to use the Bet365 bonus code SFA365 to get up to $1,000 in bonus bets if your first bet loses, or you can get $150 in bonus bets after a $5 sports bet.
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net
- Minimum deposit: $10
- Bet $10 on Chiefs vs. Eagles with minimum odds of -500 or greater
- Can bet on player props (Xavier Worthy over in receptions) or game props like the first quarter total going over.
- If your bet loses, you will get back 100% of your wager up to $1,000 in bonus bets
- Bonus bets will be removed from your account if they are not used within 7 days.
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
- Minimum deposit: $10
- Bet $5 on Chiefs vs. Eagles with minimum odds of -500 or greater
- Can bet on player props (Dallas Goedert over in receptions) or the under.
- After your bet is settled, win or lose, you will receive $150 in bonus bets and 50 casino bonus spins in states where online gaming is legal.
- Bonus bets will be removed from your account if they are not used within 7 days after you get them.
How to Claim the Bonuses Before Kickoff
- Head to the mobile site or download the Bet365 mobile app from the app store
- Register a new user account using Bet365 bonus code “SFA365”
- Deposit a minimum $10 in your account
- Depending on your Bet365 Super Bowl promo, place a minimum $5 or $10 bet on any of the markets we discussed in our Chiefs vs. Eagles preview:
- Try a Same Game Parlay with player props and the spread
- Bet on Saquon Barkley and Kareem Hunt to both score touchdowns
- Take the Chiefs to win one more time this season
- (For Safety Net) If your first qualified bet is a loss, you will get back your wager in the form of bonus bets
- (For $5 Bet) You will receive $150 in bonus bets no matter how your bet settles.
Chiefs vs. Eagles Bet365 Super Bowl Promo
Super Bowls are the best for finding the most specials and betting promos of any game in the calendar year. Bet365 Super Bowl promo has a whole section devoted to these specials as well as some bets named after Taylor Swift songs. You could even use your Bet365 bonus code to take advantage of these markets.
A favorite choice is a bet for the Chiefs to come back from behind in the fourth quarter to take a lead, something they have done in all three of their Super Bowl wins under Patrick Mahomes. It's a good value bet since they don't even have to win the game for it to hit. They just have to take the lead back. But you can find bets like this and more at Bet365.
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