The Super Bowl LIX excitement is building between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles, who already played a classic Super Bowl two years ago in Arizona. This time, they're in New Orleans, and the Eagles have Saquon Barkley on their side, as he can set single-season records for rushing and scrimmage yards.

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He is having the best season by a running back to reach the Super Bowl since Terrell Davis for the 1998 Broncos. But can Barkley get the win as Davis did? We'll find out on Sunday. But you don't have to wait that long to take advantage of a great BetMGM Super Bowl promo code SFAPLAY.

  • Spread: Chiefs -1.5
  • Total: O/U 48.5
  • Defense Advantage: Jalen Carter leads the Eagles with 23 pass pressures and could be a force against Kansas City's revamped interior line.
  • Offensive Mismatch: Jalen Hurts has scored five rushing touchdowns against the Chiefs since 2022, and we know he won't fail on the Tush Push.
  • BetMGM bonus code SFAPLAY: Get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses.
  • Risk Factors: The Chiefs have lost one game after a bye week since the 2021 season, but it was against the Eagles in 2023.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Preview & Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles

Point Spread

Chiefs -1.5 (-115)

Eagles +1.5 (-105)

Moneyline

Chiefs -130

Eagles +110

Total Points

Over 48.5 (-115)

Under 48.5 (-105) 

The Chiefs are in the Super Bowl for the fifth time in six years, which has never been done before. Neither has a Super Bowl three-peat, but they are one win away from that. Standing in their way is a very strong Philadelphia team with a balanced offense and top-ranked defense. This should be the toughest test of the year for both teams.

The Chiefs are still a 1.5-point favorite at BetMGM with a total of 48.5 points. The Chiefs have won six of the last eight NFL playoff games with a spread this small. Can they do it again?

Read on to see how to best use the $1,500 BetMGM Super Bowl promo offer for the big game.

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Will There Be Turnover Regression?

Two great defenses meet in this game, but both offenses have been great at protecting the ball. Could the Chiefs be due for some turnover regression?

  • The 2024 Chiefs have played a record five games where neither team turned the ball over.
  • Patrick Mahomes has won his last nine games where the Chiefs didn't force a takeaway, which is believed to easily be an NFL record.
  • All 58 Super Bowl winners have forced at least three turnovers in the playoffs, while the Chiefs have none so far.
  • The Eagles are +10 in turnover differential this postseason (+6 in fumbles).
  • The Chiefs have not forced a takeaway in three straight games—they have never had a four-game streak in team history.

Does Patrick Mahomes Own Vic Fangio?

Patrick Mahomes is 8-0 against Eagles' defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, who was also a consultant for the 2022 Eagles in Super Bowl 57. Does Mahomes have him figured out?

  • Mahomes is 87-11 when he gets the ball out in under 3.0 seconds (on average) in his career.
  • Mahomes has gotten the ball out in under 2.85 seconds in 6-of-8 career meetings against Fangio.
  • Mahomes is 25-2 when teams blitz him at least 12 times in a game.
  • Fangio blitzed Mahomes 18 times in the playoffs last year with Miami.
  • Mahomes is 16-0 in games played indoors.
  • Mahomes has not held the ball for longer than 2.65 seconds in the last four games.

Offensive Edge: Philadelphia 

This Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl could come down to trench play where the Eagles have the edge:

  • The Eagles are getting edge rusher Brandon Graham back, and he says this will be his final game before retirement.
  • Two Eagles Pro Bowl offensive linemen were injured in the NFC title game, but both are feeling healthy now.
  • The Chiefs are struggling at left guard since moving Joe Thuney to left guard and replacing him with the inexperienced Mike Caliendo.
  • The Eagles stop the run well without loading the box, going with fewer than seven defenders on nearly 70% of all runs (the highest in the NFL).
  • Right tackle Lane Johnson has allowed 1 sack all season for the Eagles and can neutralize the Chiefs' best edge rusher (George Karlaftis).

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$1,500 First Bet Protection

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  • Bet $10 on Chiefs vs. Eagles with odds of -10000 or greater using the First Bet Token
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